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Lansner on Real Estate ~ The latest news about the housing market from Orange County Register columnist Jon Lansner.

Archive for the 'DataQuick' Tag

Really? 1st rise for Bay Area home price in 2 years

November 19th, 2009, 6:00 pm by Jon Lansner

really

Real estate news and views from around the globe that make you go, “Really?”

… Psst! Smallest SoCal home-price loss in 2 years!

Hear why O.C. housing has hit bottom

November 18th, 2009, 9:40 am by Jon Lansner

John KarevollJohn Karevoll of DataQuick has followed the local real estate market for the past two decades. As Orange County housing hits its fourth-year anniversary of its collapse, we figured we’d check in with him again to see what he’s thinking. (His last visit IS HERE!)

Karevoll tells ocregister.com in a podcast interview that the worst may be behind us — but the debacle has plenty of blame to share for many parties (and numerous lessons to be learned, too!) Bottom line, in his words: Years from now we’ll realize that 2009 was likely the bottom.

Check out your blogger’s previous podcasts:

Smallest SoCal home-price loss in 2 years

November 17th, 2009, 12:03 pm by Jeff Collins

MDA DataQuick reported today that Southern California home prices continued to increase in October over the month before, rising $5,000 to $280,000.

County Median price Vs. 2008 Sales Vs. 2008
Los Angeles $325,000 -8.5% 7,409 8.6%
Orange $436,500 3.9% 2,800 -1.2%
Riverside $190,000 -17.4% 4,197 -9.1%
San Bernardino $150,000 -25.0% 3,176 11.2%
San Diego $325,000 0.5% 3,671 2.0%
Ventura $365,000 -2.7% 879 9.6%
SoCal $280,000 -6.7% 22,132 2.8%

The gains were driven mainly by monthly price jumps in just two of the six counties in the region: Orange and Riverside.

On an annual basis, the median SoCal price was down 6.7%, but DataQuick reported that that was the smallest drop in two years.

Sales picked up, too, with monthly gains reported in four of the six counties. The counties with monthly price gains – Orange and Riverside – also had monthly sales drops.

DataQuick credited government intervention for playing “a huge role in stabilizing and, to some extent, reinvigorating the housing market.”

Increased FHA lending, tax credits and political pressure on lenders to reduce foreclosures helped ease the housing slump, DataQuick said. Whether those gains will continue after federal support is reduced in a year is still open to debate, the housing research firm reported.

Other real estate trends:

Home sales, prices rise in 25 O.C. ZIPs

November 17th, 2009, 11:10 am by Jon Lansner

For October – DataQuick’s freshest stats — Orange County homebuying patterns showed:

  • 40 of O.C.’s 83 ZIP codes had gains in their respective median selling price. Overall, prices were +3.9% vs. a year ago.
  • 5 of 83 O.C. ZIPs had median sales prices above $1 million in the period vs. 11 million-dollar ZIPs when the county median price peaked in June 2007.
  • Since that pricing pinnacle, there’s been a -32% drop in the countywide median price!
  • 51 of 83 O.C. ZIPs had year-over-year sales gains in the period.
  • Overall, countywide sales were -1.2% vs. a year ago.
  • That means that the 15-month O.C. homebuying surge has ended!
  • 4 of 83 O.C. ZIPs has sales gains of 100% or more in the period.
  • NOTE! 25 local ZIPs had both sales gains and price gains in the period. (Highlighted in green below!)
  • For a detailed report on the price moves, CLICK HERE!

Here’s a look at the 83 ZIPs and how they fared in terms of median selling price and total sales for this period: Read the rest of this entry »

15-month O.C. homebuying surge ends

November 17th, 2009, 9:48 am by Jon Lansner

Have local homes prices gotten ahead of Orange County real estate shoppers’ wallets?
For October – DataQuick’s latest homebuying report — Orange County saw …

_

WHERE DID THEY BUY IN OCTOBER?
(Click image for details!)

$335,000

$335,000

$500,000

$500,000

$1,130,000

$1,130,000

  • Shoppers bought 2,800 residences — that is -1.2% vs. year-ago buying activity. (From 1997-2006, monthly sales averaged 4,304 per month.)
  • That ends a 15-month streak of sales year-over-year gains after 33 consecutive months where sales failed to beat the previous year’s pace.
  • Why? Relative bargains are hard to find. October’s $436,500 median selling price, highest since August 2008 and +3.9% vs. a year ago.
  • Second consecutive month of year-over-year pricing gains.
  • The most recent median is also 18% above the cyclical low hit in January 2009 at $370,000!
  • Prices have now risen month-to-month for 6 straight times — longest streak since 7 months ended August 2005.
  • 25 O.C. ZIPs have both price AND sales gains.
  • Yes, current pricing is 32% below June 2007’s peak of $645,000. And the January bottom was -43% below the peak.
  • Prices fell on a year-over-year basis from Sept. 2007 through August. (Worst at -31.5% in August 2008.)
  • Single-family homes resell for 33% less than their peak pricing (June ‘07) while condos sell 33% below their peak in March 2006. Builder prices for new homes are 35% below their February ‘05 top.
For October
Slice Price Yr. ago Sales Yr. ago
Houses $489,000 +1.9% 1,831 +0.1%
Condos $317,000 +7.5% 817 +0.0%
New $564,450 +15.4% 152 -18.7%
All O.C. $436,500 +3.9% 2,800 -1.2%

Real estate outlooks:

Home sales, pricing weak in O.C. mid-section

November 15th, 2009, 4:00 pm by Jon Lansner

For the 22 business days ending Oct. 22 – freshest stats from DataQuick — a region-by-region analysis of local homebuying shows Orange County slices up geographically speaking this way …

  • DataQuick identified 504 homes selling in beach cities’ ZIP codes last month, +32% from a year ago. Median selling price? $693,500 in these 17 ZIPs. Last month’s median price change was -3.4% vs. a year ago.
  • South inland ZIPs — median selling price $505,000 – had 827 sales, +28% from a year ago. In these 19 ZIPs, last month’s median price change was +1.6% vs. a year ago.
  • North inland ZIPs — median selling price $452,500 – had 779 sales, +13% from a year ago. In these 23 ZIPs, last month’s median price change was -2.6% vs. a year ago.
  • Yet … mid-county ZIPs — median selling price $363,000 – had 910 sales, -3% from a year ago. In these 24 ZIPs, last month’s median price change was -0.3% vs. a year ago.
  • All told, countywide sales were +9% vs. a year ago. The median selling price was +5% in the past year.

How did your neighborhood fare? Check our ZIP-by-ZIP data HERE!

Other real estate trends:

Best homebuying October in 4 years?

November 13th, 2009, 12:25 am by Jon Lansner

October may not been so spooky for local real estate. For the 22 business days ending Oct. 22 – DataQuick’s latest homebuying report — Orange County saw as the end of month neared …

22 days ending Oct. 22
Slice Price Yr. ago Sales Yr. ago
Houses $495,000 +3.6% 2,001 +10.4%
Condos $310,000 +8.8% 905 +10.2%
New $505,750 +4.4% 176 -6.9%
All O.C. $435,000 +4.8% 3,082 +9.2%
  • Shoppers bought 3,082 residences — that is +9.2% vs. year-ago buying activity. (From 1997-2006, monthly sales averaged 4,304 per month.)
  • Assuming the month finished at the last reported sale space, this would be the most active October for local homebuying since 2005!
  • September was 15th straight month of sales gains vs. the year-ago period. That follows 33 consecutive months where sales failed to beat the previous year’s pace.
  • In this most recent period, O.C.’s $435,000 median selling price is +4.8% vs. a year ago … yet 33% below June 2007’s peak of $645,000.
  • The most recent median is 18% above the cyclical low hit in January 2009 at $370,000 — a current bottom that was -43% below the peak.
  • Prices fell on a year-over-year basis from Sept. 2007 through August. (Worst at -31.5% in August 2008.)
  • Single-family homes resell for 33% less than their peak pricing (June ‘07) while condos sell 34% below their peak in March 2006. Builder prices for new homes are 41% below their February ‘05 top.

Other real estate trends: