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Lansner on Real Estate ~ The latest news about the housing market from Orange County Register columnist Jon Lansner.

Are O.C. builders regaining pricing power?

April 16th, 2009, 6:00 pm · 4 Comments · posted by Jeff Collins

hanley-wood-home-price-feb

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Costa Mesa-based Hanley Wood Market Intelligence reported this week that new home prices rebounded in February after tumbling 39 percent in the past three years.

Sales contracts signed by buyers in February were down 44.4% from the year before, but up from previous months.

Hanley Wood’s data — based on contracts signed, not closed sales — serve as an early indicator of future new home closings. During the past two years, for example, Hanley Wood reported that sales contracts fell from a high of 413 in February 2007 to a lot of 43 in December (see chart below for the past 14 months).

According to the research firm’s February report:

Month Deals Change
Jan-08 172 -49.0%
Feb-08 171 -58.6%
Mar-08 168 -46.0%
Apr-08 163 -53.2%
May-08 174 -38.5%
Jun-08 179 -45.6%
Jul-08 143 -21.0%
Aug-08 147 3.5%
Sep-08 116 -25.2%
Oct-08 77 -57.0%
Nov-08 105 -31.4%
Dec-08 43 -54.7%
Jan-09 76 -55.8%
Feb-09 95 -44.4%
  • The median price of a new home contract signed in February was $649,000 — up 30% from January.
  • From peak to trough thus far, median price had dropped from $750,000 in February 2006 to $455,000 this past November. (See chart)
  • The median price of a house contract signed in February was $890,000, up 5% from February 2008, but down 31% from a peak of nearly $1.3 million in February 2006.
  • The median price of a new condo was $395,900 in February, down 9% from the previous year; the townhome median price was $419,990, down 7.3%.
  • Buyers signed 95 new home purchase contracts in February. While down from the previous year, that was up 25% from January and more than double the number of new home contracts signed in December, the low point in contracts during the past three years.

New home contracts likewise showed “modest improvements” across the state.

“February sales figures were poor, as expected,” said Jonathan Dienhart, Hanley Wood’s Director of Published Research. “But with the incremental improvement from January, they suggest we may finally be seeing the bottom of housing declines.”

In other real estate news …

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 4 Comments

  • Bill says:

    Look at how many spikes this chart has.

    Its like trying to get a straight answer from a schizophrenic. It’s all over the place.

    A wave of 6 months worth of foreclosures and surging bankruptcy’s will spike this chart into the ground.

  • Patricio says:

    Is it Spring time….are the knife catching zombies coming out from their Winter hibernation? Yes, and here is another question will prices continue to decline after the seasonal bounce….yes.

  • sclause says:

    Kind of makes sense this would go higher though. At the low end, they just can’t compete with foreclosures so why bother even trying.

  • oh, oh, it looks like the bulls are going to hate these horrible news.

    California’s unemployment rate skyrockets to 11.2%